Strategy Lab Guide & Analytics
Live strategy testing with institutional metrics. Select a pre-built strategy, configure parameters, and see the equity curve, statistical metrics, and Monte Carlo confidence bands update in real-time.
Strategy Selector & Parameters
Overview
Dropdown to select a strategy (MVRV Reversion, Momentum Cross, Regime-Adaptive, VWAP Bounce) with configurable asset, lookback window, and signal threshold.
How to Read
Start with default parameters. Modify one parameter at a time. Wide thresholds fire fewer but higher-quality signals.
Strategy Equity Curve
Overview
Cumulative portfolio value from over the backtested period. Green dots = entries, red dots = exits. Compared against BTC buy-and-hold baseline.
How to Read
Strategy line consistently above BTC baseline = alpha being generated. Large sudden drops = drawdown periods. Smooth steady rise = robust strategy.
Guppy EMA Density Ribbon
Overview
Price chart with 15 EMAs: 6 short-period (3-15) in cyan, 9 long-period (30-75) in red. Ribbon compression = volatility coiling. Expansion = trend confirmed.
How to Read
Cyan ribbon above red = bullish structure. Red above cyan = bearish. Crossing = trend change. ALL ribbons compressed together = large move imminent.
Monte Carlo Simulation Bands
Overview
500 simulated 30-day return paths from current equity. Shaded region = 5th-95th percentile. Bold median line = expected trajectory.
How to Read
Wide band = high variance / uncertainty. Narrow band = more predictable. The 5th percentile line is your downside scenario.
